Modelling Regional Scenarios for the Enlarged Europe: European Competiveness and Global Strategies
ISBN/ASIN: 9783540747369,9783540747376 | 2008 | English | pdf | 329/329 pages | 17.4 Mb
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg | Author: Roberta Capello, Roberto Camagni, Barbara Chizzolini, Ugo Fratesi (auth.)
Tackling the question of what the European territory will look like over the next fifteen years, this volume provides quali-quantitative territorial scenarios for the enlarged Europe, under different assumptions on future globalisation strategies of BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) and East and West European countries. The approach is as neutral as possible vis-� -vis the results, leading to a new forecasting model, the MASST model, built by the authors, to produce the tendencies and behavioural paths of regional GDP and population growth in each individual European region under alternative assumptions on the competitiveness strategies of different blocks of countries. The results are accompanied by strong policy messages intended to encourage long-term strategic thinking among a wide range of actors, scientists and policy makers in response to the risks and opportunities that the European territory will face.